Surjit S Bhalla / IE
Here comes the forecast: First, the caveats, no information except historical analysis and a visit to Bihar. Both (data and visit) indicate that the people of Bihar seem to be happy with Nitish on at least three counts: The building of roads, electrification of villages, and enhancement and encouragement of gender equality (free bicycles for girls entering high school etc). But good governance is in short supply on the NDA side these days.
All things considered, the NDA should find it difficult to top 80 seats with a reasonable probability of obtaining seats in the 50-70 range. If forced to make a point estimate, I would say 175 seats for the JDU+ and 60 seats for the NDA. more
Here comes the forecast: First, the caveats, no information except historical analysis and a visit to Bihar. Both (data and visit) indicate that the people of Bihar seem to be happy with Nitish on at least three counts: The building of roads, electrification of villages, and enhancement and encouragement of gender equality (free bicycles for girls entering high school etc). But good governance is in short supply on the NDA side these days.
All things considered, the NDA should find it difficult to top 80 seats with a reasonable probability of obtaining seats in the 50-70 range. If forced to make a point estimate, I would say 175 seats for the JDU+ and 60 seats for the NDA. more
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