30.9.15

What The Pundits Will Say After Bihar Results

Shivam Vij / HuffPo
Even though the BJP won 32 out of 40 Lok Sabha seats in Bihar in 2014, CSDS found in surveys at the time that 64% respondents were satisfied with his performance as chief minister. It is important to note that this view was being expressed after Nitish had broken his alliance with the BJP, and while voters were voting for the BJP.

Except for the BJP-aligned upper caste voters, people in Bihar have good things to say about Nitish Kumar, but there may be good reasons why this may not convert into votes. They may want to give the BJP a chance after having seen Nitish govern Bihar for two terms, they may not like the Lalu alliance, the BJP’s communal polarization may have a role to play, and finally, the BJP is doing a good job with caste arithmetic.

Despite all those reasons, Nitish Kumar could win this election precisely because he is popular with voters. Should he lose, it will not change the truth that there is no huge anti-Nitish sentiment amongst voters in Bihar. The good things voters have to say about his two terms will keep him alive and kicking in Bihar politics. more

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