16.8.15

Mr Modi, don’t let Bihar distract you

SA Aiyar / ET

Dear Narendra Modi,

The coming Bihar state election has made you lose your once-clear sense of direction and conviction. You seem terrified of doing anything that may antagonize vote banks, or draw charges of corruption or pro-business sympathies. You seem indecisive and defensive, not tough and decisive as in your successful 2014 campaign. 

Cynics already call your regime "UPA-3 minus big corruption". In February , AAP thrashed you in the Delhi election. So, your partymen view the Bihar election as a make-or-break event that will ruin your moral authority and charisma if you lose. Fear of losing Bihar is converting you into a flip-flopper. 

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The NDA 's vote share in Maharashtra fell from 50.2% in the general election to 47.1% in the state election; from 34.7% to 33.2% in Haryana; from 21.5% to 18% in Odisha; from 40.1% to 35.0% in Jharkhand; from 34.4% to 23.0% in Kashmir; and from 46.4% to 32.2% in Delhi (2015). 

In Bihar, you won just 38.8% of votes in the general election. That was a multi-cornered contest. You can hope for more votes in the coming straight fight, but can you be confident of 51%? Hardly. 

So, hope for the best but prepare for the worst. Don't obsess about Bihar. Instead, focus on purposive governance to establish you as a strong leader worthy of re-election in 2019. more

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